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AUD/USD Analisis teknis - AUD/USD Jual beli: 2025-01-29
AUD/USD Technical Analysis Summary
Bawah 0.62262
Sell Stop
Atas 0.62695
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral |
| MACD | Sell |
| Donchian Channel | Sell |
| MA(200) | Sell |
| Fractals | Sell |
| Parabolic SAR | Sell |
AUD/USD Chart Analysis
AUD/USD Analisis Teknis
The technical analysis of the AUDUSD price chart on 4-hour timeframe shows AUDUSD,H4 is declining under the 200-period moving average MA(200) after breaching below MA(200) yesterday. We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower bound of the Donchian channel at 0.62262. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 0.62695. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal high indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis Forex - AUD/USD
Australia’s latest inflation data were softer than expected. Will the AUDUSD price retreating continue?
Australian Bureau of Statistics latest inflation data were weaker than expected: the monthly Consumer Price Index increased by 2.5% over year in December 2024, accelerating from 2.3% in the previous month. The reading was the highest since August and in line with market forecasts. At the same time Consumer Price Index growth decelerated to 2.4% in Q4 2024, down from 2.8% in Q3, and below the forecast of 2.5%. It was the lowest reading since Q1 2021, as goods inflation sharply eased (0.8% vs 1.4% in Q3) mainly due to steep declines in prices of electricity (-25.2% vs -15.8%) and fuel (-7.9% vs -6.2%) amid the ongoing impact of Energy Bill rebates. As a result of softer inflation data traders increased bets that the Reserve Bank of Australia will begin its easing cycle as early as February. Higher likelihood of interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia is bearish for Australian dollar and AUDUSD pair.
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